中國貿易收支的形成機理及其主要影響因素研究

定　價：￥28.00

作　者：	顧欣著
出版社：	南京大學出版社
叢編項：
標　簽：	暫缺

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ISBN：	9787305171260	出版時間：	2016-07-01	包裝：	平裝
開本：	16開	頁數(shù)：		字數(shù)：

內容簡介

　　本書提出了一個綜合的多渠道分析框架探討中國貿易收支波動的形成機理，識別和指出影響中國貿易收支的關鍵影響因素。本研究為客觀評估中國貿易收支余額未來的可能走勢提供了理論依據(jù)，同時為如何緩解我國的貿易失衡事實提供政策啟示。從一個多維視角出發(fā)，構建了一個綜合的多渠道分析框架探討中國貿易收支的形成機理，從供給渠道、需求渠道和相對價格渠道，對影響中國貿易收支的主要經(jīng)濟因素進行測度。

作者簡介

　　顧欣，女，漢族，1982年10月出生，江蘇南通人。2013年畢業(yè)于澳大利亞詹姆斯·庫克大學，獲經(jīng)濟學博士學位?，F(xiàn)為東南大學經(jīng)濟管理學院副教授，對貿易收支領域有長期的關注和研究，先后主持和參與了省部級等多項科研教改項目，發(fā)表論文多篇。

圖書目錄

TABLE OF CONTENT
Abtract i
Table of contents iv
CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION 1
1.1 Introduction .......... 1
1.2 Motivations for this study 3
1.3 Research questions and objectives 4
1.4 Methodology....................................................................................................4
1.5 Significance of the research 5
1.6 Organisation of the thesis 6
Chapter 2 China’s Trade Performances and Trade Reforms 8
2.1 Introduction.....................................................................................................8
2.2 China’s trade balance position 8
2.3 China’s foreign trade 9
2.4 Reform of China’s trade regime 18
2.5 Structural changes and external dependence 23
2.6 Summary........................................................................................................27
Chapter 3 Review of the Literature 29
3.1 Introduction...................................................................................................29
3.2 Theoretical basis for determinants of trade balance 31
3.2.1 Productivity and trade balance 32
3.2.2 Income and trade balance 34
3.2.3 Exchange rate, relative price effects and the balance of trade 35
3.2.4 Monetary view of trade balance 38
3.3 Empirical research 44
3.3.1 Country-specific studies 44
3.3.2 Cross-country studies 48
3.4 Existing studies on the determinants of China’s trade balance 55
3.4.1 Supply-side explanations 55
3.4.2 Relative price effect: the exchange rate 56
3.4.3 Demand-side considerations 58
3.5 Summary........................................................................................................59
Chapter 4 Research Methodology 61
4.1 Research framework 61
4.2 Econometric modelling 64
4.2.1 The standard model of trade balance 64
4.2.2 An extension of the standard model 66
4.2.3 Variable construction and data acquisition 68
4.3 Estimation strategies 69
4.4 Summary........................................................................................................76
Chapter 5 Determinants of China’s Trade Balance—
a Multifaceted Perspective 77
5.1 Economic factors 77
5.1.1 A supply-side explanation 77
5.1.2 Relative price effects 84
5.1.3 Demand-side considerations: consumption constraints 86
5.2 Socio-cultural factors 91
5.2.1 Social ideology, social structure and labour supply 92
5.2.2 Social networks and FDI inflows 93
5.2.3 Demographic structure, social welfare system and saving
behaviour ....................................................................................95